Automation for forecasting of internal and external radiation doses accumulated after the Chernobyl accident

A web application has been developed to calculate radiation doses accumulated from 1986 to 2056. The web application is available on the website of the Republican Scientific and Practical Center for Radiation Medicine and Human Ecology at https://www.rcrm.by. A link to the application is available on the website of the Republican Scientific and Practical Center for Radiation Medicine and Human Ecology at https://www.rcrm.by in the «Scientific Activities » section (https://www.rcrm.by/science/dose-forecast/). Accumulated individualized doses of internal and external radiation are calculated for individuals permanently residing in areas contaminated with radionuclides that were exposed to radioactive contamination as a result of the Chernobyl accident. It is conservatively assumed that the patient belongs to the 10% most exposed group among individuals of a given age and occupation in a given locality. By combining fragments of calculation results for various input data, such as residence in different localities or different occupations, it is possible to calculate individualized doses of internal and external radiation accumulated since the Chernobyl accident, taking into account changes in residence and occupation. The calculated individualized cumulative radiation doses since the accident enable radiation epidemiological studies to establish the dose-response relationship and assess the risks of long-term effects of radiation exposure. Taking into account the individualized cumulative radiation doses, epidemiological studies are being conducted on the development of radiation-related diseases in individuals exposed to radiation as a result of the Chernobyl accident. Furthermore, using the developed web application, individuals living or who have lived in radioactively contaminated areas can quickly and easily assess their cumulative radiation dose levels and the associated health risks, as well as the advisability of seeking additional social protection measures.

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