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Analysis of the dynamics of the incidence of malignant neoplasms in the Republic of Belarus before and after the Chernobyl disaster

https://doi.org/10.58708/2074-2088.2025-1(33)-55-65

Abstract

   The dynamics of age-standardized incidence rates of malignant neoplasms in the Republic of Belarus before and after the Chernobyl disaster has been analyzed. As a result of the analysis over a 46–year period (from 1978 to 2023), more than 5 shapes of dynamic curves were identified. They had from 0 to 3 joint points. A significant increase in the cancer incidence in the early «post–Chernobyl» period was noted only for skin cancer (in men and women), cervical cancer, breast cancer in men, and adrenal gland cancer in men. However, no localizations had the shape of the dynamics similar to the shape of the curve for thyroid cancer incidence. The dynamics of thyroid cancer incidence, unlike other localizations, had 3 trend breakpoints in women and 4 in men, and was generally characterized by positive growth rates.

About the Authors

I. V. Veyalkin
State Institution "Russian Scientific Research Center for Radiation Medicine and Human Ecology"; Gomel State Medical University Educational Institution
Belarus

Gomel



V. A. Rozhko
State Institution "Russian Scientific Research Center for Radiation Medicine and Human Ecology"
Belarus

Gomel



S. N. Nikonovich
State Institution "Russian Scientific Research Center for Radiation Medicine and Human Ecology"
Belarus

Gomel



O. I. Zubets
State Institution "RNPC of Oncology and Medical Radiology named after N.N. Alexandrov"
Belarus

agro-town of Lesnoy



V. B. Masyakin
Gomel State Medical University Educational Institution
Belarus

Gomel



V. N. Bortnovsky
Gomel State Medical University Educational Institution
Belarus

Gomel



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Veyalkin I.V., Rozhko V.A., Nikonovich S.N., Zubets O.I., Masyakin V.B., Bortnovsky V.N. Analysis of the dynamics of the incidence of malignant neoplasms in the Republic of Belarus before and after the Chernobyl disaster. Medical and Biological Problems of Life Activity. 2025;(1):55-65. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.58708/2074-2088.2025-1(33)-55-65

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ISSN 2074-2088 (Print)