Prediction of individualized accumulated doses of internal radiation
https://doi.org/10.58708/2074-2088.2025-2(34)-14-20
Abstract
Studies aimed at improving the accuracy of forecasting individualized accumulated doses of internal radiation to persons exposed to radiation as a result of the Chernobyl accident and living in a radioactively contaminated area have been conducted. As a result, a model has been developed containing parameters that quantify the time-stable factors that most influence the process of internal radiation dose formation, such as gender and age. The model was tested and compared with the data of a control sample formed on the basis of instrumentally obtained values of annual doses of internal radiation. It has been found that the model reduces the uncertainty of estimating individualized accumulated doses of internal radiation by at least 20%. The predictive value of the forecasting method has been increased by at least 10%. The improvement of these indicators was achieved as a result of taking into account the doses of a representative person in populated areas and increasing the requirements for the training sample when calibrating the model.
About the Authors
N. G. Vlasova
ГУ «РНПЦ радиационной медицины и экологии человека»; УО «Гомельский государственный медицинский университет»
Belarus
Belarus
C. N. Bouzdalkin
ГУ «РНПЦ радиационной медицины и экологии человека»
Belarus
Belarus
L. N. Eventova
ГУ «РНПЦ радиационной медицины и экологии человека»
Belarus
Belarus
A. N. Mataras
ГУ «РНПЦ радиационной медицины и экологии человека»
Belarus
Belarus
G. N. Yevtushkova
ГУ «РНПЦ радиационной медицины и экологии человека»
Belarus
Belarus
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Review
For citations:
Vlasova N.G., Bouzdalkin C.N., Eventova L.N., Mataras A.N., Yevtushkova G.N. Prediction of individualized accumulated doses of internal radiation. Medical and Biological Problems of Life Activity. 2025;(2):14-20. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.58708/2074-2088.2025-2(34)-14-20
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